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View: SPEC, accumulated race time
Normalization:Car, Fuel & Tire use
Population: Top 6 drivers
X-Axis: Lap number in race order
Y-Axis: Time delta to reference
Reference: Race winner’s average lap
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SPEC Timeline
The SPEC Timeline begins with pace-normalized laps: a linear-regression manifold equalizes fuel consumption and tire wear so every lap is comparable as driver–car pace, while preserving the original race timeline.
SPEC then estimates car performance from each team’s best car at P80 and normalizes its performance ratio against the fastest car. The adjusted laps are reintegrated in their original sequence, preserving strategy, traffic and interruptions while producing a counterfactual finishing order: the race as it might have unfolded with car performance equalized.
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View: SPEC, lap time distributions
Normalization: Car, Fuel & Tire use
Population: Top 6 drivers
X-Axis: Percentiles and Quartiles
Y-Axis: Lap time in seconds
Filter: 5%,10% excluded for scaling
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SPEC Distributions
SPEC Distributions begin with pace-normalized laps: a linear-regression manifold equalizes fuel consumption and tire wear so every lap is comparable as driver–car pace.
SPEC then estimates car performance from each team’s best car at P80 and normalizes its performance ratio against the fastest car. The resulting percentile distributions compare drivers as if car performance were equalized. The slower side reflects race entropy—traffic, pit stops and interruptions—while the upper quartile reveals the counterfactual pure pace.
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View: SPEC, accumulated sorted time
Normalization: Car, Fuel & Tire use
Population: Top 6 drivers
X-Axis: Percentiles and Quartiles
Y-Axis: Time delta to reference
Reference: Winner average pace
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SPEC Sorted Time
SPEC Sorted Time begins with pace-normalized laps: a linear-regression manifold equalizes fuel consumption and tire wear so every lap is comparable as driver–car pace.
SPEC then estimates car performance from each team’s best car at P80 and normalizes its performance ratio against the fastest car. The adjusted laps are reintegrated in percentile order—as if every driver completed the slowest laps first and the fastest laps last. On the left, the curves show counterfactual time lost to race entropy; on the right, the slope shows how it was recovered through driver pace.