• View: Race, accumulated time

    Population: Top 6 drivers

    X-Axis: Lap number in race order

    Y-Axis: Time delta to reference

    Reference: Winner average pace

  • RACE Timeline — Gap to Leader

    RUS and ANT are partly missing from this chart because the published view keeps only the top six.

    But that was the GP.

    For the lead, this was not a procession. It was a cat-and-cat fight: pressure on every braking point, lock-ups, tire smoke, off-road moments, and repeated challenges for the front.

    No mouse here.

    But there was a lion cub.

    RUS led until the Mercedes gave up. Fate, pressure, or both — the machine quit before the fight reached its natural resolution. RUS was angry, and rightly so. We lost the answer to the main question of the race.

    Behind that, VER and HAM made the second act.

    VER gets ahead, but HAM runs a controlled attack and executes on lap 62 to take P2.

    LEC, HAD, and COL close the chart, with large gaps behind the front group.

    The missing McLarens tell the other story: the wrong call to start on inters on a drying track left a hole in the race they never fully recovered from.

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  • View: Race, lap time distributions

    Population: Top 6 drivers

    X-Axis: Percentiles and Quartiles

    Y-Axis: Lap time in seconds

    Filter: 5%,10% excluded for scaling

  • Race Distribution — Pace Envelope

    The signal here is strong.

    ANT dominates the lap-time distribution. He is faster at every useful percentile, not just on one clean lap. This is the clearest pace signature in the race.

    HAM loses time in the lower quartiles, but then takes control of his envelope. His upper range is excellent. This was a very strong race from Lewis.

    VER shows a similar profile, just a little slower. Close enough to stay in the fight, not enough to beat HAM.

    HAD loses too much time in the race entropy, but his developed pace is comparable to VER. Same car family, similar performance window.

    LEC runs a clean race, but does not extract the same pace as HAM. That is the Ferrari signal here. The normal pecking order is reversed.

    Your teammate is not your mate.

    COL gets into the published mix, partly because both McLarens knocked themselves out of the useful comparison with the wrong early strategy.

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  • View: Race, sorted timeline

    Population: Top 6 drivers

    X-Axis: Percentiles and Quartiles

    Y-Axis: Lap time in seconds

    Reference: Winner average lap

  • Race Sorted Time — Integrated Race

    Same conclusion, integrated over the race.

    ANT is the clear reference. The curve falls away fastest and finishes best. This is not one lap. It is the full race signature.

    HAM and VER remain very close. HAM holds the small advantage late, which matches the pass for P2.

    LEC sits behind them. Clean race, but not enough extraction to match HAM in the same Ferrari family.

    HAD deserves the note here. He loses too much time in the race entropy, but his sorted-speed profile recovers well. On pure pace, he beats COL.

    COL stays in the published group because the McLarens removed themselves from the useful comparison. But against HAD, the speed signal is clear.

    The integrated order is:

    ANT clear. HAM / VER close. LEC next. HAD recovers to beat COL on speed.

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